Consider the following:
Say, as a hypothetical, that candidate X wins the state of California by only 1,000 votes. California is the nation's largest state, so it accordingly has the most electoral votes, in this case 55. Yet if Candidate X doesn't have a very good ground game in some other state(s), for example, New York, Massachusetts, and North Carolina, they could very well lose in a landslide to another candidate, say candidate Y, albeit only in those states. However, if we add up the electoral votes in the 3 states candidate X lost big in we get (29+11+15) = 55 electoral votes.
That means, even though candidate X lost big to candidate Yin the popular vote over these 4 states, perhaps by hundreds of thousands of votes, the net electoral college loss is zero. This situation is unlikely to happen, but far from impossible. The way the electoral college is set up means that instead of trying to increase voter turnout everywhere they can, candidates concentrate on big swing states to help them get over the magic number of 270 electoral votes, the amount needed for a majority. The victory in California gave candidate X over 20% of that total. This math works accords other states as well. Small wins in larger states can outweigh huge losses in small ones, even if the margin of victory is as small as 1 vote.
Do you want to sit on the sidelines while only a few states really vote for president?
Showing posts with label California. Show all posts
Showing posts with label California. Show all posts
Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Saturday, May 19, 2012
Yes on Prop 29
California Proposition 29 proposes a $1.00 increase in taxes per pack of cigarettes. The money from this new tax would go to funding cancer research, tobacco reduction programs, and law enforcement against the improper use of tobacco.
If it is passed at all.
The money of big tobacco is ardently against Prop 29, which will appear on California's June 5 ballot. Phillip Morris and RJ Reynolds tobacco companies have committed over $30 million to stop this measure. They know that this proposition has the potential to significantly reduce their profits. If enacted, Prop 29 will help reduce incidences of smoking and improve cancer research. We need funds for this now more than ever because of the fiscal crisis in California, making it impossible to use other state funds for Prop 29 target areas. Therefore, we must pay for it in other ways. In having the smokers themselves pay for it, we make cigarettes more expensive and fund health programs relating to tobacco use.
With the passage of Proposition 29, we can look forward to a healthier population.
If it is passed at all.
The money of big tobacco is ardently against Prop 29, which will appear on California's June 5 ballot. Phillip Morris and RJ Reynolds tobacco companies have committed over $30 million to stop this measure. They know that this proposition has the potential to significantly reduce their profits. If enacted, Prop 29 will help reduce incidences of smoking and improve cancer research. We need funds for this now more than ever because of the fiscal crisis in California, making it impossible to use other state funds for Prop 29 target areas. Therefore, we must pay for it in other ways. In having the smokers themselves pay for it, we make cigarettes more expensive and fund health programs relating to tobacco use.
With the passage of Proposition 29, we can look forward to a healthier population.
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